backcast

简明释义

英[/ˈbæk.kæst/]美[/ˈbæk.kæst/]

回测

英英释义

单词用法

同义词

反义词

例句

1.With the vision and potential actions, organizations backcast to develop strategies for sustainability.

凭借远见卓识和潜在的行动，组织进行了后退以制定可持续性战略。

2.With the vision and potential actions, organizations backcast to develop strategies for sustainability.

凭借远见卓识和潜在的行动，组织进行了后退以制定可持续性战略。

3.During the meeting, we discussed how to backcast 回溯预测 our sales figures to identify patterns.

在会议期间，我们讨论了如何对我们的销售数字进行回溯预测以识别模式。

4.The environmental scientists backcast 回溯预测 the impact of pollution on local wildlife over the past 20 years.

环境科学家对过去20年污染对当地野生动物的影响进行了回溯预测。

5.The researchers used a backcast 回溯预测 method to analyze historical stock market trends.

研究人员使用回溯预测方法分析历史股票市场趋势。

6.In order to assess the accuracy of our climate models, we decided to backcast 回溯预测 the weather data from the last decade.

为了评估我们的气候模型的准确性，我们决定对过去十年的天气数据进行回溯预测。

7.To improve future strategies, the team decided to backcast 回溯预测 their previous marketing campaigns.

为了改善未来的策略，团队决定对他们之前的营销活动进行回溯预测。

作文

In the field of environmental science, the concept of backcast (回溯预测) plays a crucial role in understanding how past events can influence future outcomes. Backcasting is a strategic planning method that starts with defining a desirable future and then works backward to identify the steps necessary to achieve that future. This approach contrasts with traditional forecasting, which typically looks at current trends to predict future developments. For instance, consider a community aiming to become carbon neutral by 2050. Using backcast (回溯预测), the planners would first outline what a carbon-neutral community would look like in 2050. They might envision solar panels on every roof, electric public transportation, and extensive green spaces. Once this vision is established, they can then work backwards to determine what actions need to be taken starting from today to reach that goal. The backcast (回溯预测) process involves several key steps. First, stakeholders must engage in a collaborative discussion to define their vision for the future. This step is essential, as it ensures that everyone involved shares a common understanding of what they are working towards. Next, they will identify the barriers that currently exist and the resources available to overcome those barriers. This may include technological advancements, policy changes, or community engagement strategies. After identifying these elements, the group can create a timeline that outlines specific milestones leading up to the target year. For example, they might set a goal to increase renewable energy usage by 20% within the next five years. Each milestone serves as a checkpoint to assess progress and make necessary adjustments along the way. One of the significant advantages of using backcast (回溯预测) is that it encourages innovative thinking. By focusing on a desired future rather than being limited by current constraints, individuals and organizations can explore new ideas and solutions that may not have been considered otherwise. This creativity can lead to breakthroughs in technology and policy that significantly impact sustainability efforts. Moreover, backcast (回溯预测) helps to align various stakeholders' interests and motivations. When everyone understands the end goal and the steps needed to get there, it fosters collaboration and a sense of shared purpose. This collective effort is often vital in addressing complex issues like climate change, where multiple parties must work together to achieve significant results. In conclusion, the concept of backcast (回溯预测) is an invaluable tool in strategic planning, particularly in the context of sustainability and environmental management. By envisioning a desirable future and working backward to identify the necessary steps, communities and organizations can create actionable plans that lead to meaningful change. As we face increasingly urgent global challenges, adopting methods like backcast (回溯预测) can empower us to take proactive measures towards achieving our long-term goals.

在环境科学领域，backcast（回溯预测）这一概念在理解过去事件如何影响未来结果方面发挥着至关重要的作用。回溯预测是一种战略规划方法，它从定义一个理想的未来开始，然后向后推导出实现该未来所需的步骤。这种方法与传统的预测相对立，后者通常关注当前趋势以预测未来发展。例如，考虑一个旨在到2050年实现碳中和的社区。通过使用backcast（回溯预测），规划者首先会概述2050年碳中和社区的样子。他们可能设想每个屋顶上都有太阳能电池板、电动公共交通以及广泛的绿地。一旦这个愿景建立，他们就可以向后推导出从今天开始需要采取哪些行动以实现这一目标。backcast（回溯预测）过程涉及几个关键步骤。首先，利益相关者必须进行协作讨论，以定义他们的未来愿景。这一步至关重要，因为它确保所有参与者对他们正在努力的目标有共同的理解。接下来，他们将识别当前存在的障碍和克服这些障碍所需的资源。这可能包括技术进步、政策变更或社区参与策略。在识别这些要素之后，团队可以创建一个时间表，概述通往目标年份的具体里程碑。例如，他们可能设定一个目标，在未来五年内将可再生能源使用量提高20%。每个里程碑都作为检查点，以评估进展并在必要时进行调整。使用backcast（回溯预测）的一个重要优势是它鼓励创新思维。通过关注理想的未来，而不是受限于当前的约束，个人和组织可以探索新的想法和解决方案，这些想法和解决方案可能在其他情况下未曾考虑过。这种创造力可以导致技术和政策方面的突破，对可持续发展努力产生重大影响。此外，backcast（回溯预测）有助于使各种利益相关者的利益和动机保持一致。当每个人都了解最终目标及实现目标所需的步骤时，这促进了合作和共同目标感。这种集体努力在应对气候变化等复杂问题时通常至关重要，因为多个方必须共同努力才能取得显著成果。总之，backcast（回溯预测）这一概念是战略规划中一种不可或缺的工具，特别是在可持续性和环境管理的背景下。通过设想理想的未来并向后推导出必要的步骤，社区和组织可以制定出可行的计划，从而带来有意义的改变。随着我们面临日益紧迫的全球挑战，采用如backcast（回溯预测）这样的方式可以使我们能够主动采取措施，实现我们的长期目标。