probabilism

简明释义

英[ˈprɒbəbɪlɪzəm]美[ˈprɑːbəbəlɪzəm]

n. 盖然论；或然论

英英释义

单词用法

同义词

反义词

例句

1.The key problem is that equating probabilism with reason crowds out consequential thinking.

关键的问题是相等的或然率加上理性的群众，出来的往往是必然的想法。

2.The key problem is that equating probabilism with reason crowds out consequential thinking.

关键的问题是相等的或然率加上理性的群众，出来的往往是必然的想法。

3.In finance, probabilism helps investors assess risks and returns.

在金融领域，概率主义帮助投资者评估风险和回报。

4.Many philosophers debate the implications of probabilism in ethics.

许多哲学家讨论概率主义在伦理学中的影响。

5.The use of probabilism allows for more flexible modeling of real-world scenarios.

使用概率主义可以更灵活地模拟现实世界的场景。

6.The scientist applied probabilism to predict the outcome of the experiment.

科学家应用概率主义来预测实验的结果。

7.In decision theory, probabilism is often used to model uncertainty.

在决策理论中，概率主义通常用于建模不确定性。

作文

In the realm of philosophy and decision-making, the concept of probabilism plays a crucial role. Probabilism refers to the idea that it is reasonable to make decisions based on probabilities rather than certainties. This approach acknowledges the inherent uncertainty in many aspects of life and suggests that we should weigh our options according to their likelihood of success. For instance, when faced with a significant life choice, such as choosing a career path or making an investment, individuals often rely on probabilism to guide their decisions. They analyze the potential outcomes and their associated probabilities to determine the best course of action.One of the key advantages of probabilism is its ability to accommodate uncertainty. In a world where not everything is black and white, understanding that outcomes can vary allows for more nuanced decision-making. For example, consider a student deciding whether to pursue higher education. By applying probabilism, the student can assess factors such as job market trends, potential salaries, and personal interests. Instead of seeking absolute certainty about the future, they can make an informed choice based on the probabilities of different outcomes.Moreover, probabilism is not limited to individual decision-making; it also has implications in various fields, including economics, science, and ethics. In economics, for instance, policymakers often use probabilism to forecast economic trends and make informed decisions regarding fiscal policies. By analyzing data and considering the likelihood of different scenarios, they can implement strategies that maximize positive outcomes while minimizing risks.In scientific research, probabilism is essential for hypothesis testing and statistical analysis. Scientists must often operate under conditions of uncertainty, and using probabilism allows them to draw conclusions based on the likelihood of their hypotheses being true. This approach helps in advancing knowledge while recognizing the limitations of current understanding.Ethically, probabilism can inform moral decision-making. When faced with dilemmas, individuals can evaluate the probable consequences of their actions and choose paths that align with their values while considering the potential impact on others. This method of ethical reasoning encourages a pragmatic approach to morality, where decisions are made based on the balance of likely benefits and harms.However, it is essential to recognize the limitations of probabilism. Relying solely on probabilities may lead to decisions that overlook important qualitative factors. Additionally, individuals may misinterpret or miscalculate probabilities, leading to poor choices. Therefore, while probabilism provides a valuable framework for decision-making, it should be used in conjunction with other methods of reasoning and judgment.In conclusion, probabilism offers a practical approach to navigating uncertainty in various aspects of life. By focusing on probabilities rather than certainties, individuals can make informed decisions that account for the complexities of the world around them. Whether in personal choices, economic policies, scientific research, or ethical dilemmas, embracing probabilism can enhance our understanding and improve our decision-making processes. Ultimately, recognizing the role of uncertainty and probabilities empowers us to act more thoughtfully and strategically in an unpredictable world.

在哲学和决策的领域中，概念概率主义发挥着至关重要的作用。概率主义是指根据概率而非确定性做出决策的理念。这种方法承认生活中许多方面固有的不确定性，并建议我们根据成功的可能性权衡选择。例如，当面临重大生活选择时，如选择职业道路或进行投资，个人通常依赖概率主义来指导他们的决策。他们分析潜在结果及其相关概率，以确定最佳行动方案。概率主义的一个关键优势是能够适应不确定性。在一个不是所有事情都是黑白分明的世界中，理解结果可能会有所不同使得决策更加细致。例如，考虑一位学生决定是否追求高等教育。通过应用概率主义，学生可以评估诸如就业市场趋势、潜在薪水和个人兴趣等因素。与其寻求对未来的绝对确定，不如基于不同结果的概率做出明智的选择。此外，概率主义不仅限于个人决策；它在经济学、科学和伦理等各个领域都有影响。例如，在经济学中，政策制定者经常利用概率主义来预测经济趋势并就财政政策做出明智的决策。通过分析数据并考虑不同情景的可能性，他们可以实施最大化积极结果并最小化风险的策略。在科学研究中，概率主义对于假设检验和统计分析至关重要。科学家常常必须在不确定的条件下运作，而使用概率主义使他们能够根据假设真实的可能性得出结论。这种方法有助于推动知识的发展，同时认识到当前理解的局限性。在伦理上，概率主义可以为道德决策提供信息。当面临困境时，个人可以评估其行为的可能后果，并选择与其价值观相一致的路径，同时考虑对他人的潜在影响。这种道德推理的方法鼓励一种务实的道德观，在这种观念中，决策是基于可能的好处和伤害之间的平衡。然而，必须认识到概率主义的局限性。仅仅依靠概率可能导致忽视重要的定性因素。此外，个人可能会误解或误算概率，从而导致错误的选择。因此，虽然概率主义为决策提供了有价值的框架，但它应该与其他推理和判断的方法结合使用。总之，概率主义为在生活的各个方面应对不确定性提供了一种实用的方法。通过关注概率而非确定性，个人可以做出考虑到周围世界复杂性的明智决策。无论是在个人选择、经济政策、科学研究还是伦理困境中，接受概率主义都可以增强我们的理解，提高我们的决策过程。最终，认识到不确定性和概率的作用使我们能够在不可预测的世界中更有思想和战略地行动。