leading indicator

简明释义

先导指标数字

英英释义

例句

1.Unemployment rates can serve as a leading indicator 领先指标 for future consumer spending.

失业率可以作为未来消费者支出的一个领先指标。

2.Consumer confidence surveys provide valuable insights into leading indicators 领先指标 of market trends.

消费者信心调查为市场趋势提供了有价值的领先指标。

3.Changes in interest rates can act as a leading indicator 领先指标 for inflation trends.

利率变化可以作为通货膨胀趋势的一个领先指标。

4.The stock market is often considered a leading indicator 领先指标 of economic performance.

股市通常被认为是经济表现的一个领先指标。

5.Manufacturing orders are a key leading indicator 领先指标 for predicting economic growth.

制造订单是预测经济增长的一个关键领先指标。

作文

In the world of economics and finance, understanding various metrics is crucial for making informed decisions. One such metric that holds significant importance is the concept of a leading indicator. A leading indicator is an economic factor that changes before the economy starts to follow a particular pattern or trend. These indicators are used by economists and investors to predict future movements in the economy, allowing them to make proactive decisions rather than reactive ones.For instance, one common example of a leading indicator is the stock market. When investors anticipate an economic upturn, they often start buying stocks, which can lead to a rise in stock prices even before the economy begins to recover. This increase in stock prices serves as a signal that the economy might be improving, thus acting as a leading indicator of future economic growth.Another example is the number of new building permits issued. When builders are optimistic about the future of the economy, they tend to apply for more permits, indicating that construction activity will likely increase. This surge in building permits can serve as a leading indicator of economic expansion, as it suggests that businesses are preparing for increased demand.Additionally, consumer confidence surveys are another form of leading indicator. When consumers feel optimistic about their financial situation and the economy, they are more likely to spend money. Increased consumer spending can lead to higher production levels, job creation, and ultimately economic growth. Therefore, a rise in consumer confidence can be seen as a leading indicator of future economic activity.It is important to note that while leading indicators can provide valuable insights, they are not foolproof. There can be false signals, and relying solely on these indicators without considering other factors can lead to misguided decisions. For example, a sudden spike in stock prices might not always indicate a robust economic recovery; it could also be influenced by speculation or external factors unrelated to underlying economic conditions.In summary, leading indicators are essential tools for predicting future economic trends. By analyzing these indicators, economists and investors can gain insights into where the economy is headed. However, it is crucial to use them in conjunction with other data and analysis to form a comprehensive view of the economic landscape. As with any predictive tool, caution and critical thinking should guide decision-making processes, ensuring that one does not fall prey to the pitfalls of over-reliance on any single indicator. Understanding the role and limitations of leading indicators can empower individuals and organizations to navigate the complexities of economic forecasting more effectively.

在经济和金融的世界中，理解各种指标对于做出明智的决策至关重要。其中一个具有重要意义的指标是领先指标的概念。领先指标是指在经济开始遵循特定模式或趋势之前发生变化的经济因素。这些指标被经济学家和投资者用来预测未来经济的运动，使他们能够做出主动的决策，而不是被动的决策。例如，一个常见的领先指标例子是股市。当投资者预期经济复苏时，他们通常会开始购买股票，这可能导致股价在经济开始复苏之前就上涨。股价的上涨作为经济可能改善的信号，从而充当了未来经济增长的领先指标。另一个例子是新建筑许可证的发放数量。当建筑商对经济的未来持乐观态度时，他们往往会申请更多的许可证，这表明建筑活动可能会增加。这一建筑许可证的激增可以作为经济扩张的领先指标，因为它表明企业正在为需求增加做好准备。此外，消费者信心调查也是一种领先指标。当消费者对自己的财务状况和经济感到乐观时，他们更有可能花钱。消费者支出的增加可以导致生产水平提高、创造就业机会，并最终推动经济增长。因此，消费者信心的上升可以被视为未来经济活动的领先指标。需要注意的是，尽管领先指标可以提供宝贵的见解，但它们并不是万无一失的。可能会出现错误信号，单靠这些指标而不考虑其他因素可能会导致误导性的决策。例如，股价的突然飙升不一定总是表明经济复苏强劲；它也可能受到投机或与基本经济状况无关的外部因素的影响。总之，领先指标是预测未来经济趋势的重要工具。通过分析这些指标，经济学家和投资者可以获得有关经济走向的见解。然而，必须将它们与其他数据和分析结合使用，以形成对经济形势的全面看法。像任何预测工具一样，谨慎和批判性思维应指导决策过程，确保人们不会因过度依赖任何单一指标而陷入困境。理解领先指标的作用和局限性，可以使个人和组织更有效地应对经济预测的复杂性。